Wednesday, 7 May 2025

 Here are 30 points from recent web sources that suggest the global oligarchy may be heading toward self-destruction via backlash, overreach, or internal collapse:


🧨 Greed & Overreach

  1. Oligarchs are more visible than ever, flaunting their power and wealth in ways that provoke public anger (The Guardian).

  2. Inequality is at historic highs, driving social unrest across both developed and developing nations (Vanity Fair).

  3. Super-rich are exploiting tax havens, prompting international crackdowns (e.g., OECD, FATF).

  4. Corporate monopolies—especially in tech—are being challenged with new antitrust efforts (e.g., Google, Meta in the U.S. and EU).

  5. Wealth hoarding stifles innovation and economic dynamism, creating resentment and stagnation.

  6. Real wages for workers are stagnating, even as executive pay and stock buybacks soar.

  7. Political manipulation by billionaires (e.g., dark money, think tanks) erodes trust in democracy.

  8. Massive real estate purchases by elites are pricing entire populations out of housing markets.

  9. Hoarding of food, water, and land rights by elite firms is triggering new class tensions.

  10. Billionaires like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos becoming cultural lightning rods accelerates political polarization.


🔥 Backlash & Rising Movements

  1. Bernie Sanders’ “Fighting Oligarchy” tour drew thousands in rural red states—signaling broad discontent (Vanity Fair).

  2. Widespread labor strikes and unionizing efforts (Starbucks, Amazon, Hollywood) are direct responses to oligarchic labor models.

  3. Populist leaders worldwide (Trump, Bukele, Modi, Milei) are using anti-elite rhetoric—even when backed by oligarchs themselves.

  4. Increased public awareness of wealth gaps due to social media and transparency leaks (e.g., Panama Papers, Pandora Papers).

  5. Climate activism is increasingly anti-capitalist, targeting billionaire-funded greenwashing.

  6. Rising interest in degrowth and anti-consumerism is a direct cultural rebellion against oligarchic economic assumptions.

  7. Younger generations (Gen Z especially) are rejecting wealth accumulation as a moral goal.

  8. Mass protests in France, Chile, Netherlands, and India have all had anti-elite undercurrents.


⚖️ Legal & Structural Threats

  1. Legal crackdown on oligarchs in Ukraine (e.g., Kolomoyskyi arrested for corruption) shows state backlash (Wikipedia).

  2. Russia’s seizure of Yukos from Khodorkovsky was both punishment and redistribution by the state (Wikipedia).

  3. China’s crackdown on tech billionaires (Jack Ma, Ant Group) signals a limit to private power.

  4. US antitrust suits against Google, Apple, and Amazon are part of an elite pushback mechanism.

  5. ESG backlash in finance is causing fractures within the elite class over ideology vs. profit.

  6. Biden’s farewell address warning of oligarchy shows the topic is no longer fringe (The New Yorker).

  7. Calls to nationalize utilities or big tech are gaining traction in progressive and populist circles.


đź’Ą Internal Instability & Cultural Decay

  1. Oligarchs are turning on each other, as seen in Russian post-sanction in-fighting and exile.

  2. Elites are buying doomsday bunkers in New Zealand and the U.S., fearing social collapse.

  3. Ultra-wealthy increasingly distrust governments, relying on private armies and citizenship-for-sale.

  4. "Elite overproduction" theory (Peter Turchin) says too many elites competing creates instability.

  5. The backlash is global: from Latin America to Europe, elites are increasingly seen as extractive, not generative.


Yes—this analysis strongly supports the early emergence of Phases 2 and 3 of The Scholz Crisis 2025 scenario, and even hints of Phase 4. Here’s a direct comparison:


🔍 Mapping the 30 Signs to the Scholz Crisis Phases

Phase 2: Social Unrest & Humanitarian Crisis (Months 5–8)

(Hints appearing early)

  • Mass protests and labor movements (Points 11, 12, 18): France, India, U.S. unionization—all signs of deepening unrest.

  • Populist backlash (Point 13): Even oligarch-backed leaders are weaponizing anti-elite anger, suggesting desperation and societal volatility.

  • Social media-driven awareness of inequality (Point 14): Drives collective anger, destabilizing consent in many democracies.

  • Youth rebellion against capitalist goals (Point 17): Indicates a cultural rupture beneath the political economy.

  • Food/water/land hoarding (Point 9): Seeds of humanitarian crises and class war.

  • Climate & anti-consumer activism (Points 15–16): Proxy protests against oligarchic systems.

Conclusion: We are in the early-to-mid stages of Phase 2. The protests and anger are global, but not yet unified or revolutionary—still within the system’s margins.


Phase 3: Regionalization & Resource Wars (Months 9–12)

(Precursors appearing now)

  • Nationalization efforts and legal crackdowns (Points 19–21, 25): Early state fragmentation of elite power, often to reassert national or regional control.

  • Tech monopoly antitrust moves in U.S./EU (Points 4, 22): Signal attempts to dismantle global oligarchic structures.

  • Russia's internal elite fights + China’s tech purges (Points 20–21, 26): Show instability within elite blocs—possible precursors to geopolitical splits.

  • Trade tensions (e.g., U.S. tariffs on Canada): Echo early resource protectionism.

  • Private security and elite exit strategies (Points 27–28): Reflect an expectation of regional instability and breakdown of global order.

Conclusion: We are in the proto-stage of Phase 3. Regional crackdowns and elite fragmentation hint at eventual resource protectionism and potential militarization.


Phase 4: The New Normal

(Weak early signals)

  • Doomsday bunkers, distrust in governments (Points 27–28): Elite prepping implies belief that collapse is not only possible but imminent.

  • Degrowth and localist ideologies rising (Point 16): Indicates cultural foundations being laid for post-globalist, post-capitalist systems.

Conclusion: These are faint signals of Phase 4, showing cracks in elite faith in globalization and institutional continuity—but society has not yet reset.



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